Mumbai:
HSBC today said waning effects from the GST impact will help push the
Indian GDP growth to 7 per cent in FY19. It can be noted that the
International Monetary Fund has come out with an estimate of 7.4 per
cent growth two days ago.
"For India, we are expecting the economy to grow in the next three years
(FY18-20) by 6.5 per cent, 7 per cent and 7.6 per cent," the bank’s
chief economist Pranjul Bhandari told reporters on a conference call.
She added that the growth has slid from previous year’s 7.1 per cent to
6.5 per cent in FY18 due to the implementation of the Goods and Services
Tax (GST).
"As some of the short-run disruptions caused by GST get ironed out, we
expect growth to rise in the next couple of years," she noted. Bhandari
added that from a medium-term perspective of about three years, the bank
expects GST alone to add 0.40 per cent to the GDP growth figure.
It’s newly appointed country head Jayant Rikhye also said that the
Indian economy is well positioned to grow once the GST-related
difficulties are overcome.
In a January 2 report, where it had first come out with the 7 per cent
growth estimate for FY18, the bank had spoken about the note ban as the
second factor apart from GST which had impacted the growth.
Meanwhile, with ten heads of state from the Asean grouping invited as
guests for the Republic Day celebrations, the bank said it is keen to
play an aggressive role in finance and advisory activities.
Without disclosing its presence in the important trade corridor, the
bank said its presence in six of the ten countries makes it possible for
it to be more active.
With a cross-border trade of USD 64 billion in 2016, the Asean block is the country’s fourth biggest trading partner.
25 Jan 2018, 10:09 AM