The timing could not have been
more bizarre. Less than 24 hours after the curtain came down on the
Delhi Auto Expo last Wednesday came the news that the Centre was
shelving its grandiose plans of an electric vehicle policy.
And to
think that the underlying theme of the expo was electric mobility, with
manufacturers going the extra mile to showcase a range of offerings.
Clearly, the idea was to keep pace with the Centre’s vision of targeting
a 100 per cent electric ecosystem for the auto industry by 2030.
Never
mind that this was going to be a tall order, given that there was no
roadmap to make this a reality. After all, e-mobility requires
supporting infrastructure: charging points, affordable batteries, clean
power supply sources and fiscal sops from the government. Further,
India’s achievements in this space till now have been minuscule; even
this was made possible only by Mahindra & Mahindra with its e20.
So,
what does the announcement imply for the auto sector? With Road
Transport & Highways Minister Nitin Gadkari indicating that it is
now up to manufacturers to take the lead with their e-mobility
initiatives, it is logical to assume that nobody is really going to step
on the gas at this point in time.
The state-run Energy Efficient
Services Ltd mandate of 10,000 electric cars from Tata Motors and
M&M has seen a flurry of activity in recent times, with a few
hundred cars delivered thus far. Whether the balance 9,000-odd cars
still need to be produced remains to be seen.
The next big
development, in 2020, is scheduled to be a car jointly developed by
Suzuki and Toyota Motor Corporation. With no electric policy due, will
they still stick to this schedule or focus on the more pressing deadline
of Bharat Stage VI emission norms in 2020?
In India, it is
legislation that has driven change over the years, going back to the
imposition of compressed natural gas in Delhi over 15 years ago to the
Supreme Court directive last March on liquidating all BS III stocks in
three days. In the absence of an electric vehicle policy, will
automakers still be compelled to pull out all the stops for e-mobility?
It
is intriguing why the Centre shelved its plans after all the brouhaha
that accompanied its earlier intent of targeting 100 per cent by 2030.
Perhaps it was an acknowledgement of the gigantic task on hand. After
all, only China has shown the way ahead in e-mobility with plans to
increase its use in the coming years.
Not everyone in the industry
believes the issue has died a quiet death: decisions can be revoked and
there is no telling if there will be a volte-face. Policymakers have
been consistently adopting an aggressive tone with automakers on EVs
till recently, with the message being ’perform or perish’.
Additionally,
there are concerns of the 43 per cent levy on hybrid cars (28 per cent
GST + 15 per cent cess), which is a barrier to the clean air drive.
Electric cars still attract the lowest at 12 per cent, but perhaps the
time has come to reduce the levy on hybrids too.