We had initiated a coverage on Rajratan Global Wire,
the largest manufacturer of tyre bead wire (TBW) in India and the only
manufacturer and sole supplier of TBW to various global players in
Thailand (through its wholly-owned subsidiary).
The company’s
September quarter performance was mixed; topline grew but higher input
prices hurt margins. We remain positive on the company on the back of
growth in Thailand, revival in Indian automobile sector after waning
GST, capacity expansion and new clients.
Pick up in topline - GST hangover is over now
After
the GST hangover, the company posted strong growth of 24.5 percent
(YoY)/ 27.2 percent (QoQ) in net operating revenues mainly driven by
both volume and price hikes taken this quarter. Domestic volumes rose
8.1 percent during the quarter and Thailand volumes rose 9.5 percent.
Raw material price - hike taken
The
management had mentioned that they usually raise prices on a quarterly
basis and hence higher raw material prices were passed on to the
customer during the quarter. The management indicated that it passes on
60-100 percent of the higher raw material prices to its customers.
Thanks
to the price hike, cost of material consumed as a percentage of net
sales dropped to 57 percent from 70 percent in the previous quarter and
61 percent in the same quarter last year.
Continue to add new clients
As
indicated in our earlier note, the company was in the final stages of
approvals to get into an agreement with Bridgestone. The management
mentioned that the deal has gone through and they have supplied 300 tons
this quarter. This is expected to increase, going forward.
Apart
from that, the management believes that there is a huge opportunity in
auto spring business in India as many players have shut down their
businesses. The management is focusing aggressively on this area as
well.
Capacity expansion on track
The
capacity expansion for Thailand plant is on track and would be completed
in the next three years. Apart from that, the management highlighted
that there are discussions going on to increase domestic capacity from
3,000 tons per month to 5,000 tons per month. This would help the
company to capture additional demand as its India capacity is currently
running at 100 percent utilization.
Estimates and valuation
In
light of the second quarter numbers, we have revised our estimates
upwards. Rajratan is trading at reasonable valuations of 12.5 and 11.6
times FY18e and FY19e projected earnings.
08 Nov 2017, 11:24 AM