Over the past 12 months, the government has been steadfastly
advocating a move to phase out petrol and diesel cars completely and
transforming the country into an all-electric market by the year 2030.
These
ambitions have been formulated as action plans, as opposed to concrete
policies. While the industry awaits further clarity on the government’s
position on electric vehicles (EVs) regarding availability of charging
infrastructure, investment and incentive guidelines, and the role of
state governments to support the launch of EVs, nearly all manufacturers
that participated in the recent Delhi Auto Expo had at least one
electric vehicle on display.
The intended shift to EV would not
only help to cut down on fuel bills, reduce emissions, and cut the
escalating demand for road infrastructure, but would also change the
face of the automotive industry and transform India into the leading
electric vehicle market in the region and perhaps the world.
The question remains, however, is India on the right track to becoming an EV hub?
Challenges, and opportunities
With
more than half of the automotive suppliers in India based on
engine-and-transmission systems, the industry is likely to take a hit.
Despite this, strong government support can help transform those
companies. However, there are opportunities to counter these potential
challenges.
The corresponding consumer market would appear to
already be in place, and growing, with 30 per cent of first-time car
buyers in India under the age of 30. This is due, in part, not only to
rising income levels and easy access to credit, but also to the higher
aspirations of the younger generation. Similarly, diesel vehicles
continue to fall out of favour with consumers increasingly experimenting
with new body styles.
Furthermore, all eyes remain on India to
excel in this space, not only due to the strong presence of many of the
world’s leading automotive brands, but also the government’s clearly
voiced support. With Malaysia announcing recently that it plans to lean
on Indian expertise in developing its own auto industry, the latter
continues to be a leading force in the region.
Many leading
companies are already gearing up for EVs. Maruti Suzuki and Hyundai
announced their plans to introduce their first electric vehicles in
India by 2020 and 2019, respectively. Suzuki had earlier also announced
plans to set up a lithium ion-battery factory. Tata Motors recently
delivered the first 250 Tigor vehicles to EESL in Phase 1. Mahindra
& Mahindra is ramping up its EV division and is expected to launch
electric variants of its popular SUVs - the Scorpio and the XUV 500.
However, the risk still falls on the industry in determining the market
readiness of electric vehicles.
Infrastructure is crucial
For
any major disruption to a long-standing and well-established industry
to be successful, a strong and coherent strategy must be implemented.
One of the key focus areas will be on setting up electric vehicle
charging infrastructure across the country.
While the EV fleet
and charging networks across the world have grown concurrently, it has
led to the emergence of different charging standards in different
regions. Furthermore, every car has a different charging system. In
other words, at present, all models of different manufacturers cannot be
charged at any station.
Recently, the Committee on
Standardization of Protocol for Electric Vehicles (EV) Charging
Infrastructure released recommendations entailing specifications for
Bharat EV Charger AC-001 and Bharat EV Charger DC-001.
At present,
there are very few charging stations in India, which makes
long-distance travel almost impossible. Given that more than 80 per cent
of car owners in India state that they have only one car for their
household, this limitation has always been a big hurdle to accepting
EVs.
However, government incentives such as offering subsidised
electricity tariffs and promoting public awareness will also go a long
way to developing the infrastructure. The recent government initiative
to set up EV charging stations at parking lots of railway stations is
likely to generate greater interest and acceptability.
Platforms
to develop battery cell technologies and pack, innovative software, and
telematics — whereby detailed data about the areas in a city that have
the most number of EVs at any point in time and the strategic placement
of charging points at coffee shops, restaurants, and malls — will go
some way in easing the potential hiccups faced by the prospect of
charging EVs outside key hub spots.
Increased energy generation
India,
as the world’s third-largest energy consumer after the US and China, is
working towards building a green economy and there are opportunities
for energy and renewable energy firms to leverage on the eventual
increased demand for electricity. Perhaps, now is a strategic time to
address the increased energy needs hand-in-hand with discussions
surrounding the EV sector.
India’s largest power generation
utility, NTPC, is currently seeking a pan-India licence to set up
charging stations. Similarly, establishing recycling programs for
lithium batteries will help to ease the potential burdens experienced
once EVs take hold. A shift to renewable energy would also make imminent
sense for India.
In order to increase the momentum of
electrification development, it is crucial that an innovative and
pragmatic approach is adopted to address energy supplies.
Leveraging mobility services
With
shared-mobility services bringing an additional disruption to the
industry, and as the shift toward EVs gains nation-wide momentum, the
potential for mobility services business is huge — possibly as large as
the core automotive business itself. In developed countries, mobility
services are viewed as a hedge against the trend of more young people
moving to cities and abandoning car ownership. But given the
deteriorating traffic conditions and rising pollution levels, the trend
could manifest in India, as well.
Getting ready via govt support
Notwithstanding
short-term incentives such as cash subsidies, lowering road taxes and
cutting GST for EVs, other measures such as tax rebates, would help to
project a stronger long-term committed strategy.
China has
already shown the way on how to support growth in this sector. Besides
offering EV owners the second most generous subsidies globally, China
has also introduced a preferential vehicle licensing system, whereby EV
buyers get their license plates free and with least delay.
Moreover,
China is focusing investments into EV charging stations. These measures
have culminated in a boom for the industry with sales of electric
vehicles and hybrid vehicles up 53 per cent in 2016. If India can look
to replicate at least some of these measures, there is no reason why the
EV industry would not also respond positively.
India’s automotive
industry is undoubtedly headed for an inflection point, where some or
all the above trends may converge. What’s crucial along the way is to
keep the industry and its customers at the core of all relevant smart
mobility plans, to ensure that India stays on the right track to
becoming an EV hub.
The writer is Director at JD Power